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Interesting. (2.00 / 1)

Are you predicting an Obama victory in Pennsylvania?  By how much?


by TomP on Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 01:43:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Interesting. (2.00 / 1)

No. HRC will win in PA. But the result will be tighter than 20%.


McCain: The Past, Obama: The Future
by KathyM on Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 01:49:59 PM EST
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Re: Interesting. (2.00 / 1)

A lot tighter.  I bet he can keep it to single digits.

Cycloptichorn


by Cycloptichorn on Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 01:52:49 PM EST
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Obama's arrogance.. (2.00 / 1)

Have people seen that video in which the Gov of PA says that Obama told him that he WILL be the nominee?

Not that he probably will be it, that he WILL be it.

I don't know about you, but I find that extremely arrogant.

he claims that Hillary Clinton has a misplaced sense of entitlement (which I don't see at all, however she has paid her dues in helping Americans, something that you have to earn.. by doing, not saying)
however, what could be more arrogant than insisting that you WILL be the nominee when there are still many more primaries and many months to go before its decided?


Universal healthcare IS a core Democratic value
Without a REAL committment to it, we WON'T win in November.
by architek on Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 02:33:43 PM EST
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Re: Obama's arrogance.. (none / 0)

Uh, you do realize that he WILL be the nominee at this point?

He's too far ahead for the remaining states to allow Hillary to catch up.  It's a mathematical thing.  You understand?


by Cycloptichorn on Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 02:46:27 PM EST
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Re: Obama's arrogance.. (none / 0)

The word isn't arrogance.  It's confidence.


by KTinOhio on Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 02:51:48 PM EST
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Re: Obama's arrogance.. (none / 0)

The word isn't confidence.  It's math.


by bawbie on Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 03:06:11 PM EST
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Re: Obama's arrogance.. (none / 0)

OK, he's confident in the math.


by KTinOhio on Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 03:17:39 PM EST
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Re: Obama's arrogance.. (none / 0)

Sounds good :)


by bawbie on Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 03:30:09 PM EST
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Re: Interesting. (2.00 / 2)

20%.

so silly!

you do know Pa is a real state right?

that would give her a 1,000,000 vote margin!

she will come out 400,000  votes up.


by John Wesley Hardin was a Friend to the Poor on Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 02:00:14 PM EST
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Re: Interesting. (2.00 / 1)

There are about 4 million Democratic voters in PA. For Clinton to win by a million votes and there was 100% turnout (unlikely), she would have to get 62.5% of the vote, a margin of 25%.  With lower turnout than than 100%, she's have to get even larger margins.

So you think that will happen?


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 02:08:34 PM EST
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huge win (2.00 / 1)

400,000


by John Wesley Hardin was a Friend to the Poor on Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 02:32:41 PM EST
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Re: huge win (none / 0)

Can you perhaps give your assumptions on turnout and the % won by each candidate?


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 02:42:28 PM EST
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Re: Interesting. (none / 0)

you do know Pa is a real state right?

as opposed to....Texabamassippi?


by BlueinColorado on Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 02:39:41 PM EST
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Re: Interesting. (none / 0)

or North Iowaconsisota


by bawbie on Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 03:07:33 PM EST
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Re: Interesting. (none / 0)

Don't forget the mother of swing states -- Flosylhio.


"If we can't live together... we're going to die alone."
by VAAlex on Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 03:31:20 PM EST
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