Are you predicting an Obama victory in Pennsylvania? By how much?
No. HRC will win in PA. But the result will be tighter than 20%.
A lot tighter. I bet he can keep it to single digits.
Cycloptichorn
Have people seen that video in which the Gov of PA says that Obama told him that he WILL be the nominee?
Not that he probably will be it, that he WILL be it.
I don't know about you, but I find that extremely arrogant.
he claims that Hillary Clinton has a misplaced sense of entitlement (which I don't see at all, however she has paid her dues in helping Americans, something that you have to earn.. by doing, not saying) however, what could be more arrogant than insisting that you WILL be the nominee when there are still many more primaries and many months to go before its decided?
Uh, you do realize that he WILL be the nominee at this point?
He's too far ahead for the remaining states to allow Hillary to catch up. It's a mathematical thing. You understand?
The word isn't arrogance. It's confidence.
The word isn't confidence. It's math.
OK, he's confident in the math.
Sounds good :)
20%.
so silly!
you do know Pa is a real state right?
that would give her a 1,000,000 vote margin!
she will come out 400,000 votes up.
There are about 4 million Democratic voters in PA. For Clinton to win by a million votes and there was 100% turnout (unlikely), she would have to get 62.5% of the vote, a margin of 25%. With lower turnout than than 100%, she's have to get even larger margins.
So you think that will happen?
400,000
Can you perhaps give your assumptions on turnout and the % won by each candidate?
as opposed to....Texabamassippi?
or North Iowaconsisota
Don't forget the mother of swing states -- Flosylhio.