MyDD :: *Breaking* Rasmussen: BHO Down, Favorability Damaged

Breaking Rasmussen: BHO Down, Favorability Damaged

by Zebra01, Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:37:31 AM EST

Barack Obama suffered a net 2-point loss overnight, according to Rasmussen's daily national tracking poll among likely Democratic voters (O45:C44). These numbers are identical to those prior to Obama's speech on Tuesday, Rasmussen says. Link.

Rasmussen reports that among all likely voters nationally 56% are concerned about Obama's relationship with Rev. Wright even though 51% thought Obama's speech was "good or excellent."

So, the speech apparently did not remedy Obama's Wright problem.

Moreover, Obama's favorability ratings nationally continue to take a hit:

On Friday, Obama's favorable ratings remain little changed from recent days--48% favorable, 50% unfavorable. Before the Pastor Problem became big news, Obama was viewed favorably by 52%. One month ago, he was viewed favorably by 56%. The number with a Very Unfavorable opinion of Obama has increased from 26% a week ago to 33% today.

Tags: obama, national polls, hillary clinton, election 08, jeremiah wright, wright (all tags)

Permalink :: 55 Comments :: Post a Comment

It's over (2.00 / 1)

The man is unelectable.

by karajan72 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:39:50 AM EST

Re: It's over (none / 0)

You're silly.

Don't you remember how the Clinton folks have been telling us that polls don't matter ever since New Hampshire?

--1jphusseinb-- she's not a monster, as far as I know--diplomat Sinbad, making the world safe--all bluster, no cattle--

by 1jpb on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:42:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: It's over (2.00 / 1)

Are you saying that you think he has a good shot at PA?

by mjc888 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:44:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: It's over (none / 0)

I'm saying we don't have a single primary where the numbers a month out didn't end up changing.

And, it is silly do deny this fact.

--1jphusseinb-- she's not a monster, as far as I know--diplomat Sinbad, making the world safe--all bluster, no cattle--

by 1jpb on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:43:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

You are is (none / 0)

what wrong with a lot of Democratic Party.
When you face adversity you fold.

You are also showing difference between a lot of Obama and Hillary supporters.
You see a 2% drop in the poll and you start wailing that it is all over.

A year ago when Obama was 20% down compared to Hillary, Obama supporters got of their asses and acted. They setup offices, they held rallies, donated, GOTV, GOTC.

In short, they FOUGHT!!!!!

We will rip McCain up in the GE, have no doubt.
Your choice is whether you will sit at home and moan "McCain will win" or do something about to bring abut his loss.

-- be excellent to each other

by kindthoughts on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:50:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You are is (2.00 / 3)

I feel the same exact way about Hillary. She'll put in a great fight and will beat McCain.

by mjc888 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:53:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I totally think (2.00 / 1)

Hillary is a fighter. Its some of her supporters that I find to be whiny wimps.

-- be excellent to each other

by kindthoughts on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:05:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen: BHO Down, Favorability (none / 0)

his numbers are back where they were BEFORE the speech?

isn't that good news??

also, you missed two things ~

this:

On Friday, Obama's favorable ratings remain little changed from recent days--48% favorable, 50% unfavorable. Before the Pastor Problem became big news, Obama was viewed favorably by 52%. One month ago, he was viewed favorably by 56%. The number with a Very Unfavorable opinion of Obama has increased from 26% a week ago to 33% today.

and the fact that Hillary has lost a point since earlier in the week ~

by pholkhero on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:42:17 AM EST

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen: BHO Down, Favorability (none / 0)

d'oh ~ need more sleep ~

disregard my quoted portion

by pholkhero on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:43:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen (2.00 / 2)

Huh? The implication is that he lost ground since the speech, instead of shooting upward as many expected.

by mjc888 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:47:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen (none / 0)

no, he was losing ground after the wright controversy, and now he is back up to where he was before the speech.

ergo, his speech is helping him catch back up.

by pholkhero on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:54:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen (none / 0)

No, he lost ground from yesterday.

Yesterday Obama was ahead by 5 points, and today by 3 points.

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_conte nt/politics/election_20082/daily_preside ntial_tracking_polling_history

by mjc888 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:01:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen (none / 0)

one day movement does not a trend make ~ his numbers are effectively the same since he dropped last week, while clinton has dropped. if anything, you could say that the speech staunched the bleeding so far.

diary this again next friday and we can examine real data.

besides, gallup had hillary up 7, and now only 5 so what does that mean??

by pholkhero on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:14:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen (none / 0)

And now up 2. ;)

Beat McCain!

by thezzyzx on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 02:28:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen: BHO Down, Favorability (2.00 / 1)

I think the typical white people are a little miffed

by jbohio on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:42:27 AM EST

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen: BHO Down, Favorability (2.00 / 1)

You missed a sentence, "For Clinton, those numbers are 43% favorable, 55% unfavorable (see recent daily results)."

So the horrible results you're putting forth here are still significantly better than Clinton's.

Beat McCain!

by thezzyzx on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:42:48 AM EST

Indeed. (2.00 / 1)

In spite of Wright, Obama nevertheless continues to lead Clinton among Democratic voters nationally and does better than her against McCain, at least according to Rasmussen.

Yet it's Obama who's unelectable? Really, Clinton supporters. Let's at least be consistent within the same post.

Support Regina Thomas, GA-12

by Drew on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:03:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen (2.00 / 1)

Huge problems for Obama.

by mjc888 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:43:18 AM EST

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen (2.00 / 1)

HUGE problems. He's polling ahead of Clinton, has higher positives and lower negatives. He's clearly DOOMED!

Beat McCain!

by thezzyzx on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:46:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen (2.00 / 1)

Those Wright videos, unfortunately for Obama, will live on and on.

by mjc888 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:49:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]

And he's still a member of that church (2.00 / 2)

Amazing, every Sunday another reminder of where his heart is at.

We can no longer afford to worship the god of hate or bow before the altar of retaliation. Martin Luther King Jr.

by fairleft on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:57:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: And he's still a member of that church (2.00 / 1)

Probably not much longer, now that Roland Martin at CNN is finally putting the "Wright is an anti-American bigot" lie to bed.

This whole Wright fiasco was driven by bigots at Fox News and that pimp Brian Ross. They blatantly edited out the context of Wright's sermons to make them look more inflammatory than they really were. The reality is that the sermons were no worse than what you hear on a regular basis in black churches. And if you substitute abortion for racism, it's no different than what you hear in a white evangelical church.

But you and your BFF at Free Republic can keep pushing this now-expired meme.

by elrod on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:10:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Yes, I can hear it now (none / 0)

Hillary talked for 45 minutes and for 30 seconds she ranted about blacks and the typical black person and things "bred into" them.

by Southern Mouth on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:17:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

No "expiration date" on this problem. (none / 0)

$100 million to $200 million in 527, Rethug, Swiftboat money will take care of that.

You think Obama's upset about all of this now? Lol! If he's the nominee, he'll go ballistic. And, that'll just put more fuel on this bogus fire.

But, that's all it takes these days...some good, totally factless, bullshit...and the Rethugs will run with it, over and over and over and over and over again..." 'til the lie becomes the truth."

And, that's the way it is in mudville. And, preempting commentary on this, noooooo, the American public is dumb enough to buy into it, wholeheartedly. Sad, but true. And, that's at the heart of a lot of misunderstood Clinton's supporters' rants about all this now. Everyone knows it's bullshit. But, that doesn't matter. Do we live in a fucked-up country, or what?

"If it's on TV, it must be true."

by bobswern on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 01:48:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

How long will it be (2.00 / 0)

before somebody gets the bright idea to poll the states that have already voted and ask them if they would vote for Obama again, or if they would have voted for him if the Wright clips had come out before they voted?

by georgiapeach on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:45:02 AM EST

peach (2.00 / 0)

That's already happening, I'd wager.

Good call, though ;)

Until recently I was selling drugs, and now I'm selling Obama T-shirts.

by switching sides on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:03:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

If his approval numbers (none / 0)

don't come back up, somebody will think about doing a "buyer's remorse" poll. That should be interesting.

by georgiapeach on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:14:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen: BHO Down, (none / 0)

Even with all the bad press Obama is getting his favorables is still higher than Hillarys. Also, more voters see Obama as honest than they do of Hillary. Hillary could never beat McCain the straight talking express.

by Spanky on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:49:12 AM EST

BREAKING! Obama Negatives Lower Than Clintons! (2.00 / 1)

Obama's favorable ratings remain little changed from recent days--48% favorable, 50% unfavorable

For Clinton, those numbers are 43% favorable, 55% unfavorable

Spin! Spin! Spin!

Always spinning!

by Pissoff on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:49:40 AM EST

Re: BREAKING! Obama Negatives (2.00 / 1)

And more spin here!

The majority of voters have concerns about Obama based on the Wright connection.

Forget about Hillary for a second...how can anyone deny the huge potential effect with these videos in a general election?

by mjc888 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:52:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: BREAKING! Obama Negatives (2.00 / 1)

Because the videos are frauds, and the media is just now starting to notice. They cut out the parts where Wright was quoting Amb. Peck on the Chickens Coming Home to Roost bit. I guarantee you these videos have run their course.

by elrod on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:12:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: BREAKING! Obama Negatives Lower Than Clintons! (2.00 / 2)

Spin! Spin! Spin!

Always spinning!

It seems to me that Obama supporters who refuse to see the Wrighting on the Wall for their guy are the ones desperately trying to find an upside to the grim polls coming out for Obama.

Look, Obama clearly needed a major impact from his speech to counter the effect of the Wright matter, and he appears to have gotten zippo instead. What's he going to do as these videos are now packaged and repackaged time and again over the remainder of the election season? It would be bad enough if Obama got something out of the speech, but saw further speeches have diminishing returns. But, in fact, it looks like any speeches will have zero return instead -- at best.

A very bad sign, I'd think.

by frankly0 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:04:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

You are correct - I will not wet my pants (1.00 / 0)

because the Republican Attack Machine (and their surrogates here) launch some screed against the Democratic Nominee.

Grow a spine, change your Diaper and stop being a caricature of a scared Liberal.

Will you let FoxNews pick the President for YOU?

by Pissoff on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:31:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

AMEN (none / 0)

A spine indeed.

by oxman on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:38:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You are correct - I will not wet my pants (2.00 / 1)

If you think your puffing yourself up in outrage and pretending to "fight back" like this is going to defeat the right wing attack machine, when Wright gives them all they could ever dream of to bring down a Democratic candidate and a nice chunk of the Democratic brand with it, you're obviously of a maturity level that you've got some diaper issues all your own, I should think.

For those of us who live on planet earth, Wright is an enormous problem for Democrats and liberals more generally, as would be Ward Churchill.

I suppose you think we should embrace Ward Churchill as well, right, since you think in your quixotic way that mere blustering defeats all enemies? He has the same kinds of excuses as Wright for his 9/11 comments, down to his basing those comments on racial injustices against native Americans.

by frankly0 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 03:35:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: BREAKING! Obama Negatives Lower Than Clintons! (2.00 / 1)

Of course they will never accept the fact that he is unelectable. The writing is so clear on the wall that it is literally staring them in the face. Let them have their cake and eat it too. They will most likely choke on the cake in the months ahead.

Steven Shaman Publisher Skywatch-Media News

by steve468 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 01:08:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

but they were crowing (2.00 / 0)

Just yesterday, the Obama people were crowing about this Rasmussen tracking poll. Now I don't seem to be able to hear them today. LOL

Definition of a republican moderate---someone who want's only 50 years in Iraq.

by pollbuster on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:53:56 AM EST

Re: but they were crowing (none / 0)

lmao

Until recently I was selling drugs, and now I'm selling Obama T-shirts.

by switching sides on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:04:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen: BHO Down, Favorability (2.00 / 1)

I'm just impressed by how little Obama's speech seems to have changed any minds.

I doubt I've ever heard more extravagant praise for a speech in my lifetime, and yet, on balance, not a single vote seems to have gone in his favor.

All of which makes me believe that the Wright controversy is going to inflict permanent and fatal damage to Obama's prospects of becoming President.

With his speech, Obama tried to put his finger in the dike maintaining his viability, but the flood continues to wash it away.

Democrats would appear now to have a choice only between a President McCain or a President Clinton -- failing a dramatic turn of events, there will be no President Obama.

by frankly0 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:55:16 AM EST

Better than MLK (yeah, right!) but (2.00 / 1)

for the wrong cause, defending racial separatism and a black racist. And he's still a member of, still takes his impressionable kids to, the church that Wright basically invented.

We can no longer afford to worship the god of hate or bow before the altar of retaliation. Martin Luther King Jr.

by fairleft on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:59:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Better than MLK (yeah, right!) but (2.00 / 2)

And at the wrong time.

A preemptive speech about race would have been commendable.

But this speech took place after everything hit the fan.

The motives are obvious....politics as usual.

by mjc888 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:05:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Better than MLK (yeah, right!) but (2.00 / 2)

This is the source of the disgust. His brilliant, visionary, poetic, soaring speech on the state of race relations was pure damage control after the fact, only it didn't actually control any damage. Several months ago, unprompted, it would have sealed his opponents fate in a day and really moved us forward as one people.

Sen. Obama, why did you embrace this man for your entire adult life? Why do you expose your children to this filth? Why only now do you address his hatred? Becaue you got caught, is that it?

No politician ever lost an election because he underestimated the intelligence of the American public. - PT Barnum, paraphrased...

by jarhead5536 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 01:29:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

You're no Democrat (2.00 / 1)

I see you've bought the cartoon image of MLK too. Join your friends at Free Republic and Michelle Malkin and they'll tell you what a conservative MLK was. Oh yeah.

But if you had a shred of honesty you'd know that the larger sermon context makes Wright's comments no different than what MLK said in opposition to Vietnam.

by elrod on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:14:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen: BHO Down, Favorability (2.00 / 1)

FYI: The only ones who seem to be impressed with his speech are:

1) His own supporters

Political pundits (who want him to get nomination)
Commentators (for the same reasons)

That's it in a nutshell.

OH yes! And the American voter is suppose to have a say in all of this, despite the media bandwagon that Obama was enjoying for so long before he fell off that wagon last week

Steven Shaman Publisher Skywatch-Media News

by steve468 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:09:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen: BHO Down, Favorability (2.00 / 0)

"O" supporters all of a sudden don't want to talk about the polls, I wonder why? Could it be that Obama is on a downward Spiral? He thought he could make this great "please forgive me-for I have sinned" speech in Philadelphia this week, and everyone would swoon around him and say, "Oh yes! Dear Obama we forgive you, please be our next President because we love you so much." Well guess what, it didn't work this time and won't work in his next speech either. Voters have finally caught on to the once mighty and invincible Barack Obama.

Steven Shaman Publisher Skywatch-Media News

by steve468 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:02:59 PM EST

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen: BHO Down, Favorability (none / 0)

Hey.

I knew Jimmy Swaggart.

And Barack Obama ain't no Jimmy Swaggart.

Until recently I was selling drugs, and now I'm selling Obama T-shirts.

by switching sides on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:05:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen: BHO Down, Favorability (none / 0)

LOL: Great line. I live in Baton Rouge, so I had to use that line, even if it doesn't exactly fit the bill. But Hey, got to try right. I love getting these "o" people standing on their heels.

Steven Shaman Publisher Skywatch-Media News

by steve468 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:11:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

When I was younger, I asked my mom... (none / 0)

...Why Jimmy Swaggart did all that doggone crying?

Her response?

"I don't know."

by andrewalker08 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 02:02:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: ** Rasmussen: BHO Down, Favorability Damaged (2.00 / 2)

Obama has now lost his chance to be vice president. If Clinton wins the nomination, he's too toxic to add to the ticket. There's also his cool "put her in her place" reaction to the idea she was floating about a joint ticket. He won't be on a Clinton ticket.

If Obama wins the nomination, he will lose the general. The Republicans will make too much hay out of the Wright thing.

Obama needed to throw Wright quickly under the bus, apologize, say "wow I didn't know what an awful man he was" and maybe he could have saved himself. He's toast.

by hearthmoon on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:22:04 PM EST

Re: ** Rasmussen: BHO Down, Favorability Damaged (2.00 / 1)

He already tried to say he didn't know, then got caught in that lie. No one I know supports him anymore, and that includes many, many Republicans here that were going to switch parties to vote for him...

No politician ever lost an election because he underestimated the intelligence of the American public. - PT Barnum, paraphrased...

by jarhead5536 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 01:31:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: ** Rasmussen: BHO Down, Favorability Damaged (2.00 / 1)

And that is the real tragedy of this: the two of them together would have handily beat McCain. Obama is wounded, perhaps fatally. This will haunt him the rest of his career, if he has one. I daresay the likeminded voters of Rev. Wright in Chicago may be enough to keep him in the Senate, but his days as a post-racial, post-partisan embodiment of hope are over...

No politician ever lost an election because he underestimated the intelligence of the American public. - PT Barnum, paraphrased...

by jarhead5536 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 01:34:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen: BHO Down (2.00 / 1)

Obama is unelectable. It'd be foolhardy for the SDs to back him at this point. Obama has been in decline since way before PastorGate. Hillary's fortunes have been rising for a while now. She won Super Tuesday and won Super Tuesday 2. She's about to win a bunch more states.

Obama is done. Get used to it.

Joe Wilson's latest is terrific:

http://www.taylormarsh.com/archives_view .php?id=27272

by Nobama on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:37:07 PM EST

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen: BHO Down (2.00 / 3)

Again, this is Obama World.

In Obama World, a single speech erases a twenty-year relationship with a White-damning pastor.

In Obama World, getting an endorsement from Richardson is somehow big news, presumably to move Hispanic voters.

Tell that to Obama supporter Arzona Governor Janet Napolitano, whose state went heavily for Hillary Clinton.

Tell that to the team of Ted and Patrick Kennedy, John Kerry, and Massachusetts Governor Patrick--both Massachusetts and Rhode Island went heavily for Clinton. Today, it is Obama, Kerry, Patrick, and the Kennedys who are in serious trouble in Massachusetts and Rhode Island.

The team of losers endorses Obama, en route to a certain landslide loss in Pennsylvania.

What a sad, sad, tale from an inevitable landslide loser in the fall.

by lambros on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:56:25 PM EST

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen: BHO Down (2.00 / 1)

Hear Hear I second that!! Isn't it amazing how so many are so willing to "follow the pied piper" to their own demise. I just can't get over it, but then look how foolish the voters have been in picking candidates these last few election cycles. How sad.

Steven Shaman Publisher Skywatch-Media News

by steve468 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 01:12:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: *Breaking* Rasmussen: BHO Down (2.00 / 1)

Comment of the day!

No politician ever lost an election because he underestimated the intelligence of the American public. - PT Barnum, paraphrased...

by jarhead5536 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 01:37:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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